Unsurprisingly, pandemic was the clear leader in terms of the environmental risk when our research was conducted in the teeth of global lockdowns, with a median of 35% of businesses ranking it their top risk.

But the sense of resilience to the pandemic was surprisingly strong. At 44%, the median level of resilience to pandemic risk was the strongest of all risks in the environmental category, reflecting the fact that the firms we surveyed were relieved to have survived the first year of lockdown.

Lockdowns may have been unpopular - but they bought time for vaccine development and as a result, confidence levels rebounded.

Energy & utilities feel greatest risk, but reveal highest resilience scores

As the pandemic took hold, energy and utility businesses were in the vanguard of sectors most significantly affected by its impact on society with 41% of executives ranking this their top risk. As populations stayed home, the collapse in demand for fuel at one point saw the price of oil plummet to minus $37/ barrel. Confidence was strong that economies would recover, particularly in the UK where the government was very much on the front foot with economic support programmes.

Government action bolsters financial services’ confidence

As inventory swelled, oil traders grew increasingly concerned not just over pricing, but over the world’s capacity to store crude oil. Banks and pension funds were acutely worried by similarly fundamental risks – the very real prospect of a global recession and a collapse in the value of assets. The sector was the second most concerned by pandemic risk, rated top by 39% of executives. Government interventions to support the economy provided confidence however that the impact of the pandemic would be well managed, particularly in the US.

Manufacturer sentiment reveals cross-Atlantic split

Manufacturers of every kind were buffeted by fast-changing demand dynamics, workplace restrictions and of course supply chain issues during the high points of the pandemic. As we move out of the crisis phase of the pandemic – not all manufacturers have experienced a resurgence in demand. However, US manufacturers are notably more bullish with 59% of executives feeling very prepared to anticipate and respond to this risk, compared to 34% in the UK.

Please click on the legend boxes to view the different data points.
Please click on the legend boxes to view the different data points.